The nation has seen some incredibly dysfunctional politics on the left and the right over the last two months. First there was the Republican shutdown and now we have a mess with the rollout of Obamacare. Today’s RealClearPolitics website offers articles authored by William Saletan and Todd Purdum that discuss how President Obama can still win the Obamacare debate. The idea is that because of the Republicans counter intelligent effort to shutdown the Government has put the Democrats in a better position to win the 2014 mid-term elections. Well, let’s take a look at that.
First, let’s look at the Shutdown. If you are a Democrat you should herald this as one of the most, oh, I can’t quite find a good term that captures the essence of that political action. Words like bonehead, moronic, insane come to mind and they are just inadequate. The Shutdown was never a good idea for three reasons. First, it was never possible for the Shutdown to achieve its aims of dismantling Obamacare. Since the first definition of politics is that it is the art of the possible, why engage in the impossible? Second, we live in a democracy, and if you are a minority in a democracy, you have to compromise. To tell your constituents that you don’t have to compromise to achieve your ends is, well, like leading lambs to slaughter. All during the Shutdown I was reflecting on Alfred Lord Tennyson’s Charge of the Light Brigade, a poem about 600 soldiers who loyally gave up their lives in battle on the orders of misinformed superiors who foolishly did not know the battlefield. The far right Republican leadership misspent the trust of their constituents and lost political capital in the process. Finally, the Shutdown violated some of the most basic rules we learned in kindergarten about how to live in a sandbox. Americans don’t like bullies in their sandbox. Here was Ted Cruz acting like a bully trying to take over the sandbox, and Harry Reid threw him out: the duly elected bigger bully of the sandbox. The great American center that believes in fair play doesn't appreciate these types of spectacles. So, one would think that Democrats would be masters of the universe right about now due to the Republican implosion. Yet, they are not.
The Obamacare rollout fiasco has hurt Democrats, and it is likely that it will hurt them more and more all the way up to the 2014 elections. Where the Shutdown was a one-time thing, Obamacare will bring healthcare issue after healthcare issue into our political debate for the next year. It will be a drip-drip-drip that politicians need to avoid in order to look competent and win re-election. The real issue will not be the botched programming of a governmental website. That will get fixed, eventually. It will get fixed late, but it will get fixed. Rather, the issue will be how Obamacare violates another basic tenet of American culture.
Within the American psyche is a fundamental belief that we can always have more. The basic quote attributed to Horace Greely from the 1800’s “go west young man!” signifies that we, both individually and as a people, can go out and make more of ourselves for ourselves. We can have more land or wealth, or whatever by going out and making more of ourselves to get it. The idea that any resource is finite is against this cultural experience.
I am old enough to remember the theme of the Kennedy administration, which charged us to explore “New Frontiers.” And in accordance with that direction, President Kennedy challenged this nation to expand upward and put a man on the moon, a challenge that was fulfilled after his passing. That was the last great expansionary effort by an American President. After that came the Vietnam War, terrorism, and the Great Recession and the pathetic recovery following it. Nationally, it now seems that we cannot expand and grow our way out of problems. Rather, we have to settle and cope with them.
Obamacare is a marker in our cultural experience. It is a formal program that officially recognizes that a critical resource is finite and that some people have too much of it and others have too little. Whereas our tax policies reallocate a growing resource, namely our income, Obamacare reallocates a finite resource, which is our healthcare. As an impact of this reallocation, some people who are very sick will get seriously hurt when they loose their healthcare.
In the last week there have been many stories about Americans who rely on their current health insurance to stay alive. They usually have cancer and are affiliated with a PPO or other such health provider association. Many of these PPO’s are based around a university medical center that is normally too expensive to be sponsored by any insurance plan on the new exchanges. These PPOs and other similar plans are being cancelled because they do not meet the new criteria laid down by Obamacare. I saw a story about a 52-year-old cancer survivor who needs maintenance treatments from a university hospital. Her existing PPO plan is being cancelled and she cannot afford a new plan from the exchange. Not only is the premium higher, but also the $12,000 deductible makes it impossible for her to afford the new plan. Providing healthcare for her family and herself is now the major challenge in her life as she tries to figure out how to manage her life into a future that is suddenly very threatening.
From a social programming standpoint, one can say that the healthcare of the cancer survivor is being reallocated to the poor who are now being admitted into Medicaid under the new law. From an economic perspective, one can discuss the pools of the young insured healthy people paying for sick older people. However these analyses breakdown because each of these people who have been critically hurt by the new law now have a face. Each has a very personal story.